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What is the current level of intelligence of AI systems, and how much smarter are they expected to become in the near future
The current level of intelligence of AI systems is rapidly advancing, with many experts believing that human-level artificial intelligence will be developed within the next decades. Some experts, such as Mary Missy Cummings, Director of the Humans and Autonomy Lab at Duke University, believe that AI will surpass human intelligence in the near future. The AI Index Report indicates that non-defense US government agencies allocated $17 billion to AI research and development in 2022, a 131% increase from 2021, and the US Department of Defense requested $11 billion for AI research. The technology is expected to continue to advance and transform various industries, including consumer experiences, economic resilience, and geopolitical leadership.
In the near future, AI is expected to become even more intelligent, with some experts predicting that it will surpass human intelligence. The concept of human-level AI anchors the AI's capabilities to a familiar benchmark, while transformative AI emphasizes the impact that this technology would have on society. While artificial general intelligence (AGI) may still be far off, innovations in AI continue to shape the future of humanity across nearly every industry. According to a 2023 IBM survey, 42% of enterprise-scale businesses integrated AI into their operations.
The technology has come a long way since the first artificial intelligence system, a robotic mouse that could find its way out of a labyrinth built by Claude Shannon in 1950. The AI Domino Effect illustrates how AI will become more intelligent than the smartest human, with each domino representing a significant advancement in AI intelligence. Visualizing this concept, AI will surpass human intelligence in 2030, with 10 dominoes representing AI that surpasses the smartest human, and 100 dominoes representing AI that surpasses the smartest human by a factor of 10.
In conclusion, the current level of intelligence of AI systems is rapidly advancing, and experts predict that AI will become even more intelligent in the near future, with some predicting that it will surpass human intelligence. The technology is expected to continue to transform various industries and have a significant impact on society.
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